Men's Outdoor World Records to be Broken this year
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Men's Marathon (14.0%), Men's Polevault (6.0%), Men's 400m (6.0%). The market has $49K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Men's Marathon | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Men's Polevault | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Men's 400m | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Men's 1500m | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Men's 3km Steeplechase | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Men's 5km | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Men's 200m | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Men's 100m | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Men's 800m | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Men's 110m Hurdles | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $49K
- Liquidity: $49K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Men's Marathon:
If any man officially breaks (not ties) the outdoor track & field world record for the Men's Marathon after Issuance and in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: This market resolves based on whether a legal time is recorded that breaks the current outdoor track & field world record for the Men's Marathon. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the world record is ultimately ratified. Current Outdoor Track & Field World Record for Men's Marathon: 1:59:30 Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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