Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:31:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price 14°C or higher (27.5%), 13°C (25.5%), 12°C (24.5%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14°C or higher | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| 13°C | 25.5% | 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ |
| 12°C | 24.5% | 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ |
| 11°C | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 10°C | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 9°C | 19.5% | 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ |
| 8°C | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| 4°C or below | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 7°C | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 6°C | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| 5°C | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market…
Sources
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