Fed rate cut by __?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:34:39 UTC, Limitless traders price December Meeting (2.5%), October Meeting (0.6%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
December Meeting2.5%2.5¢97.5¢
October Meeting0.6%0.6¢99.4¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December Meeting:

<p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.</p><p><br></p><p>If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".</p><p><br></p><p>Emergency rate cuts will qualify.</p><p><br></p><p>The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (<a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm</a>), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.</p>

Sources

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