Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:18:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (25.0%), June 30, 2027 (6.7%), December 31, 2026 (4.7%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 6.7% | 6.7¢ | 93.3¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 4.7% | 4.7¢ | 95.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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