JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 07:15:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (34.0%), March 31, 2027 (20.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
June 30, 202734.0%34.0¢66.0¢
March 31, 202720.0%20.0¢80.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by J.D. Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.