How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:25:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1 (1.0%), At least 5 (1.0%), At least 3 (1.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 5 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 3 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1:
If the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law is at least 1 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each of the 12 regular appropriations categories is counted separately. A standalone appropriations law counts as one, while an omnibus or minibus counts once for each regular appropriations bill enacted within it; for example, a package containing four regular appropriations divisions counts as four. Continuing resolutions, supplemental appropriations, and other funding measures do not count unless they enact one or more of the 12 regular appropriations bills. A regular appropriations bill counts regardless of its legislative vehicle, bill number, or whether it is enacted as a division of a broader law. For example, in FY2019 the applicable number is 5: two minibuses covering Energy-Water, Legislative Branch, Military Construction–VA, Defense, and Labor-HHS-Education were enacted before October 1.
Sources
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