Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 21?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:55:00 UTC, Polymarket traders price 72-73°F (34.0%), 74-75°F (25.0%), 70-71°F (22.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72-73°F | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| 74-75°F | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 70-71°F | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 76-77°F | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| 68-69°F | 6.8% | 6.8¢ | 93.3¢ |
| 78°F or higher | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
| 66-67°F | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
| 64-65°F | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| 59°F or below | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 60-61°F | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 62-63°F | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $61K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous a…
Sources
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