Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:33:03 UTC, Polymarket traders price 32°C (45.5%), 33°C (43.5%), 31°C (7.4%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32°C | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| 33°C | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ |
| 31°C | 7.4% | 7.4¢ | 92.5¢ |
| 34°C | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 30°C | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| 28°C or below | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| 35°C | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| 29°C | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| 36°C | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 37°C | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 38°C or higher | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $107K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven…
Sources
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