Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?

As of Sun, 25 Oct 2026 10:09:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price ≥110 mph (99.0%), ≥115 mph (98.8%), ≥95 mph (81.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
≥110 mph99.0%99.0¢1.1¢
≥115 mph98.8%98.8¢1.2¢
≥95 mph81.0%81.0¢19.1¢
≥105 mph76.6%76.6¢23.4¢
≥100 mph75.8%75.8¢24.1¢
≥120 mph37.5%37.5¢62.5¢
≥125 mph36.0%36.0¢64.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. In the case of missing data from the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory, this market will remain open until the last calendar day of the following month, to allow for publication. If the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory has not published the relevant data by the last calendar day of the following month, this market will resolve to No. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a corr…

Sources

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