Core CPI MoM - October 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:53:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price 0.3% (33.0%), 0.2% (31.0%), 0.4% (16.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| 0.2% | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 0.4% | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| 0.1% | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| ≤0.0% | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 0.5% | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.7¢ |
| 0.6%+ | 2.4% | 2.4¢ | 97.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this…
Sources
Related markets
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Decision in December?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.