Bank of Mexico Decision in December?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 07:32:02 UTC, Polymarket traders price No change (80.5%), 25 bps decrease (15.5%), 50+ bps decrease (3.3%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 17 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 80.5% | 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ |
| 25 bps decrease | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
| 50+ bps decrease | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.8¢ |
| 50+ bps increase | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
| 25 bps increase | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specifi…
Sources
Related markets
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Decision in December?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- IPOs before 2027?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.