Bank of Japan Decision in March?
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 23:19:45 UTC, Polymarket traders price No Change (49.0%), 25 bps increase (37.0%), 50+ bps increase (4.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 18 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 25 bps increase | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 50+ bps increase | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| 50+ bps decrease | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ |
| 25 bps decrease | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its March 2027 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled to conclude on March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.…
Sources
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