Bank of England rate decision in December
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 18:52:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (76.0%), Hike 1-25bps (37.0%), Cut 1-25bps (6.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Thu, 17 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:
If the Bank of England takes the action of Maintain current rate at December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Sources
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