Bank of Canada Decision in January?
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:43:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price No Change (46.5%), 25 bps increase (35.5%), 25 bps decrease (6.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| 25 bps increase | 35.5% | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ |
| 25 bps decrease | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 50+ bps decrease | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| 50+ bps increase | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the January 2027 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its January 2027 interest rate announcement, scheduled for January 27, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its January 2027 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include po…
Sources
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