Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:14:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (99.0%), Lamine Yamal (97.5%), Kylian Mbappé (94.5%). The market has $42K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 97.5% | 97.5¢ | 2.5¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 94.5% | 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ |
| Rodri | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 69.5% | 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Michael Olise | 20.5% | 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
| Fabian Ruiz | 9.3% | 9.3¢ | 90.7¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.8¢ |
| Vitinha | 4.1% | 4.1¢ | 95.9¢ |
| Declan Rice | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Pau Cubarsi | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2.7% | 2.7¢ | 97.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $42K
- Liquidity: $83K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Harry Kane:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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