Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:47:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (73.7%), Lamine Yamal (19.3%), Kylian Mbappé (4.6%). The market has $1.5M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 73.7% | 73.7¢ | 26.4¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 19.3% | 19.3¢ | 80.7¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 4.6% | 4.6¢ | 95.4¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 2.3% | 2.3¢ | 97.8¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Rodri | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Fabian Ruiz | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Michael Olise | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Declan Rice | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Luis Diaz | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Vitinha | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.5M
- Liquidity: $11.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Sources
Related markets
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- English Premier League Champion
- EPL: 2027 Champion
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.