Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:33:52 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (94.0%), Kylian Mbappé (68.0%), Lamine Yamal (31.0%). The market has $30K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Michael Olise | 13.7% | 13.7¢ | 86.3¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 10.9% | 10.9¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 8.9% | 8.9¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Dayot Upamecano | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Luis Diaz | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ferran Torres | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Rodri | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| João Neves | 1.8% | 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ |
| William Saliba | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ |
| Marc Cucurella | 1.3% | 1.3¢ | 98.8¢ |
| Achraf Hakimi | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| Fabian Ruiz | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $30K
- Liquidity: $65K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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