Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:51:42 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (99.6%), Lamine Yamal (99.6%), Kylian Mbappé (99.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:51:42 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Harry Kane	99.6%	99.6¢	0.4¢
Lamine Yamal	99.6%	99.6¢	0.4¢
Kylian Mbappé	99.0%	99.0¢	1.0¢
Rodri	97.4%	97.4¢	2.6¢
Lionel Messi	97.1%	97.1¢	2.9¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	95.0%	95.0¢	5.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé	87.5%	87.5¢	12.5¢
Michael Olise	84.5%	84.5¢	15.5¢
Erling Haaland	76.5%	76.5¢	23.5¢
Fabian Ruiz	67.0%	67.0¢	33.0¢
Jude Bellingham	27.5%	27.5¢	72.5¢
Pau Cubarsi	27.5%	27.5¢	72.5¢
Declan Rice	21.0%	21.0¢	79.0¢
Vitinha	7.2%	7.2¢	92.8¢
Achraf Hakimi	5.9%	5.9¢	94.2¢

Market details

Venue: Polymarket
Volume: $31K
Liquidity: $105K
Closes: Fri, 01 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Source: Polymarket market

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