Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:39:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (97.4%), Lamine Yamal (88.1%), Kylian Mbappé (86.0%). The market has $59K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 97.4% | 97.4¢ | 2.6¢ |
| Lamine Yamal | 88.1% | 88.1¢ | 11.9¢ |
| Kylian Mbappé | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Lionel Messi | 20.5% | 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ |
| Rodri | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 7.8% | 7.8¢ | 92.3¢ |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Fabian Ruiz | 4.2% | 4.2¢ | 95.9¢ |
| Michael Olise | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Erling Haaland | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
| Jude Bellingham | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Vitinha | 1.8% | 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ |
| Luis Diaz | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| Pau Cubarsi | 1.3% | 1.3¢ | 98.8¢ |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $59K
- Liquidity: $135K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Harry Kane:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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