Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:15:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price Harry Kane (94.0%), Kylian Mbappé (70.0%), Lamine Yamal (32.0%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:15:47 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Harry Kane	94.0%	94.0¢	6.0¢
Kylian Mbappé	70.0%	70.0¢	30.0¢
Lamine Yamal	32.0%	32.0¢	68.0¢
Michael Olise	13.7%	13.7¢	86.3¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	10.8%	10.8¢	89.3¢
Lionel Messi	9.0%	9.0¢	91.0¢
Dayot Upamecano	4.5%	4.5¢	95.5¢
Luis Diaz	4.0%	4.0¢	96.0¢
Ferran Torres	3.4%	3.4¢	96.6¢
Rodri	2.5%	2.5¢	97.5¢
Erling Haaland	2.5%	2.5¢	97.5¢
Ousmane Dembélé	2.1%	2.1¢	97.9¢
João Neves	1.6%	1.6¢	98.5¢
Vinícius Júnior	1.5%	1.5¢	98.5¢
William Saliba	1.4%	1.4¢	98.6¢

Market details

Venue: Polymarket
Volume: $29K
Liquidity: $67K
Closes: Fri, 01 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Source: Polymarket market

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