When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (25.0%), Before Oct 1, 2027 (19.0%), Before Nov 1, 2027 (17.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Before Jan 1, 2028	25.0%	25.0¢	75.0¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	19.0%	19.0¢	81.0¢
Before Nov 1, 2027	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	16.0%	16.0¢	84.0¢
Before Dec 1, 2027	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢
Before Aug 1, 2027	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	12.0%	12.0¢	88.0¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	10.0%	10.0¢	90.0¢
Before May 1, 2027	8.0%	8.0¢	92.0¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	8.0%	8.0¢	92.0¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	7.0%	7.0¢	93.0¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	2.0%	2.0¢	98.0¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	1.0%	1.0¢	99.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $34K
Liquidity: $34K
Closes: Sat, 01 Jan 2028

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:

If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2028.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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