US active housing listings in September

As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 18:06:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1,075,000 listings (97.0%), Above 1,100,000 listings (95.0%), Above 1,125,000 listings (89.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 1,075,000 listings97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 1,100,000 listings95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 1,125,000 listings89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Above 1,150,000 listings64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 1,175,000 listings52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above 1,200,000 listings3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1,225,000 listings1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1,075,000 listings:

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for September 2026 is above 1,075,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published for the September 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series “Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,” series ID ACTLISCOUUS. Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Sources

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