Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:05:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Neros Technologies (91.0%), Unusual Machines (15.0%), OpenAI (10.0%). The market has $1.3M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neros Technologies | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Unusual Machines | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| OpenAI | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Performance Drone Works | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Anduril | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Palantir | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Freeport-McMoRan | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Eli Lilly | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Pfizer | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Nvidia | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Micron | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Boeing | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| IonQ | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| TSMC | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Anthropic | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.3M
- Liquidity: $1.3M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Neros Technologies:
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Neros Technologies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
Sources
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