When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

As of Tue, 18 Aug 2026 15:01:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (33.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202733.0%33.0¢67.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:

If a budget resolution has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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