When will a reconciliation bill become law?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2029 (39.0%), Before Jul 1, 2028 (32.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (31.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2029:
If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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