Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price The Odyssey (93.0%), The Invite (84.0%), Project Hail Mary (75.0%). The market has $45K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
The Odyssey93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
The Invite84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Project Hail Mary75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
The Black Ball75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
All of a Sudden58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
Ink46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
Dune: Part Three32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Saturn Return23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Clarissa19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Cry to Heaven18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Wildwood16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Toy Story 514.0%14.0¢86.0¢
The Whisper Man11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
The Social Reckoning3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for The Odyssey:

If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Sources

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