Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Sheldon Whitehouse (53.0%), Mike Lee (32.0%), Ted Cruz (10.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Sheldon Whitehouse53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Mike Lee32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Ted Cruz10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Amy Klobuchar3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Josh Hawley3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Sheldon Whitehouse:

If Sheldon Whitehouse formally holds the position of chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Sources

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