Who will be the next CEO of X?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:02:30 UTC, Kalshi traders price Elon Musk (8.0%), Sriram Krishnan (3.0%), Grok (3.0%). The market has $103K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Elon Musk8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Sriram Krishnan3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Grok3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Mahmoud Reza Banki3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Nikita Bier3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Jimmy Donaldson1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Sam Altman1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Jack Dorsey1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Elon Musk:

If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.

Sources

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