When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:11:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Feb 1, 2027 (85.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (80.0%), Before Dec 25, 2026 (61.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Before Dec 25, 2026 | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Before Dec 15, 2026 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Feb 1, 2027:
If legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year has become law after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Will the SAVE America Act become law?
- Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
- Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
- Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.