What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:32:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Copilot (86.0%), Azure (83.0%), Frontier (77.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Copilot86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Azure83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Frontier77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
GitHub72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Agent 36571.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Foundry66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Cowork61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Cybersecurity56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Autopilot44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
Sovereign Cloud41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
NVIDIA40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
OpenAI37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Anthropic / Claude36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Mistral22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Scout22.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Sources

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