When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

As of Sat, 29 Aug 2026 07:45:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (6.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (3.0%), Before Jun 27, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $37K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 20276.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20263.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Before Jun 27, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:

If James McDonald is the first person confirmed as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

Sources

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