When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 21:44:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jun 1, 2027 (18.0%), Before May 1, 2027 (11.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (6.0%). The market has $151K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $151K
- Liquidity: $151K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jun 1, 2027:
If Anduril confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2027.
Sources
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