Which ICE reforms will become law this year?
As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 02:22:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mask ban (8.0%), Mandatory body-worn cameras (5.0%), QR-code identification (4.0%). The market has $57K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mask ban | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Mandatory body-worn cameras | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| QR-code identification | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Separate HSI from ICE | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Abolish ICE | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Visible identification | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $57K
- Liquidity: $57K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mask ban:
If legislation that prohibits ICE agents conducting immigration enforcement operations from wearing facial coverings, with limited exceptions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An example of this is H.R. 4004 (119th) — No Anonymity in Immigration Enforcement Act of 2025.
Sources
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