US housing starts for October
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:42:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.050M (97.0%), Above 1.100M (92.0%), Above 1.150M (83.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 25 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.050M | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 1.100M | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 1.150M | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 1.200M | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Above 1.250M | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Above 1.300M | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 1.350M | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 1.400M | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.050M:
If US housing starts for October 2026 is above 1.050M, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for October 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the October 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the October 2026 Housing Starts value.
Sources
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