How low will Ethereum get this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $1,500.00 (12.0%), Below $1,250.00 (8.0%), Below $750.00 (4.0%). The market has $1.5M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $1,500.00 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Below $1,250.00 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Below $750.00 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below $1,000.00 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.5M
- Liquidity: $1.5M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $1,500.00:
If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.
Sources
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