What will Starbucks say during their next earnings call?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tariff (87.0%), Green Apron (3+ times) (85.0%), Smart Queue / SmartQ (75.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 12 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Tariff87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Green Apron (3+ times)85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Smart Queue / SmartQ75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
Loyalty69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Comparable Sales65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Matcha65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Frappuccino62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Pumpkin Spice54.0%54.0¢46.0¢
Protein54.0%54.0¢46.0¢
Canada49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Boyu23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Peanuts / Snoopy22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Green Dot Assist20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Union / Unionize / Unionized19.0%19.0¢81.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tariff:

If Tariff is said by any Starbucks Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Starbucks Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Starbucks Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Starbucks Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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