What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 21:30:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price GitHub (3+ times) (82.0%), Anthropic / Claude (79.0%), AMD / Advanced Micro Devices (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
GitHub (3+ times)82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Anthropic / Claude79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
AMD / Advanced Micro Devices76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Frontier76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Maia74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
OpenAI (3+ times)70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Helios55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Memory (3+ times)55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Activision / Blizzard49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Gaming48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Cobalt47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Sovereign Cloud40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Autopilot37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Cybersecurity21.0%21.0¢79.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for GitHub (3+ times):

If GitHub (3+ times) is said by any Microsoft Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Microsoft Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Microsoft Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Microsoft Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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