When will Databricks officially announce an IPO?

As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 13:14:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (63.0%), Before Nov 1, 2027 (57.0%), Before Dec 1, 2027 (56.0%). The market has $69K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 13:14:52 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Before Jan 1, 2028	63.0%	63.0¢	37.0¢
Before Nov 1, 2027	57.0%	57.0¢	43.0¢
Before Dec 1, 2027	56.0%	56.0¢	44.0¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	53.0%	53.0¢	47.0¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	47.0%	47.0¢	53.0¢
Before Aug 1, 2027	44.0%	44.0¢	56.0¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	35.0%	35.0¢	65.0¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	32.0%	32.0¢	68.0¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	22.0%	22.0¢	78.0¢
Before May 1, 2027	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	11.0%	11.0¢	89.0¢
Before Feb 1, 2027	7.0%	7.0¢	93.0¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	4.0%	4.0¢	96.0¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	4.0%	4.0¢	96.0¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	4.0%	4.0¢	96.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $69K
Liquidity: $69K
Closes: Sat, 01 Jan 2028

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:

If Databricks confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2028.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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