Who will testify in front of Congress this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:10:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price James Donaldson (20.0%), Mark Zuckerberg (20.0%), Sam Altman (15.0%). The market has $107K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Donaldson | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Sam Altman | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Jerome Powell | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Shou Zi Chew | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Taylor Swift | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Barack Obama | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Joe Biden | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Jelly Roll | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Jon Stewart | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Anthony Fauci | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $107K
- Liquidity: $107K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for James Donaldson:
If James Donaldson has testified in front of Congress after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes. In-person, remote, and/or virtual testimony during an official hearing or deposition of the House or Senate (including committees, subcommittees, and joint committees) qualifies. Testifying in a closed-door session also qualifies. Submitting written testimony without appearing live does not qualify. Statements made outside of an official committee hearing, such as informal briefings, media events on Capitol grounds, or personal statements to individual members of Congress, do not satisfy the criterion. Clarification (2/6/26): A person will be considered to have “testified in front of Congress” if they provide live testimony in an official House or Senate committee proceeding, including a committee deposition, whether held in a public hearing or a closed-door session, so long as the person appears live (in-person or remotely) and provides testimony under committee authority.
Sources
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