Bank of Mexico rate decision in December
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (91.0%), Cut 25bps (8.0%), Cut 50bps (5.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Fri, 18 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Cut 25bps | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Cut 50bps | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Cut more than 50bps | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Hike 50bps | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Hike more than 50bps | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Hike 25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:
If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Maintain current rate at December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Sources
Related markets
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Recession this year?
- Fed decision in December?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.