Calgary home price below C$550K this year?

As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 12:24:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (34.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 22 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes34.0%34.0¢66.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the unadjusted total residential benchmark price for the City of Calgary in 2026 is below C$550,000 in any Calgary Real Estate Board monthly housing statistics release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the unadjusted total residential benchmark price for the City of Calgary, as reported by the Calgary Real Estate Board. The market will not use average sale price, median sale price, detached-home benchmark price, apartment benchmark price, semi-detached benchmark price, row-home benchmark price, Calgary-area price, or any other housing price measure. The market will resolve based on the first published Calgary Real Estate Board figure for the relevant monthly report. Later revisions, corrections, or restatements will not affect resolution.

Sources

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