US building permits for September
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:16:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.250M (94.0%), Above 1.300M (91.0%), Above 1.350M (87.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.250M | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 1.300M | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 1.350M | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above 1.400M | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Above 1.450M | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 1.500M | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 1.550M | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.250M:
If the value of US building permits (total units) for September 2026 is above 1.250M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for September 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date. Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.
Sources
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