Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:26:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Joe Alwyn (50.0%), Jack Lowden (44.0%), Josh O'Connor (37.0%). The market has $2.8M in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Alwyn | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Jack Lowden | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Josh O'Connor | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Callum Turner | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Jack Barton | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Theo James | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Luke Evans | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Henry Ashton | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Jonathan Bailey | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Tom Blyth | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Robert Pattinson | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Jack O'Connell | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Jacob Elordi | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Aaron Pierre | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.8M
- Liquidity: $2.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Joe Alwyn:
If Joe Alwyn is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
Sources
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