How low will gas prices in California get this year?
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 16:34:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $4.10 (9.0%), Below $4.00 (9.0%), Below $3.90 (8.0%). The market has $52K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $4.10 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Below $4.00 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Below $3.90 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Below $3.80 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $52K
- Liquidity: $52K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $4.10:
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly lower than $4.10 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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