How low will US gas prices get this year?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:26:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $3.60 (28.0%), Below $3.40 (18.0%), Below $3.20 (11.0%). The market has $82K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $3.60 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Below $3.40 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Below $3.20 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Below $3.00 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Below $2.80 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Below $2.60 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Below $2.00 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below $2.20 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below $2.40 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $82K
- Liquidity: $82K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $3.60:
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
Sources
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