How high will gas prices in California get this year?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 00:56:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $6.80 (13.0%), Above $7.20 (9.0%), Above $7.40 (8.0%). The market has $501K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $6.8013.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above $7.209.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above $7.408.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above $6.607.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above $7.606.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above $7.005.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $7.803.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $8.003.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $6.80:

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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