30-year mortgage rate this week

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:18:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.08% (64.0%), Above 7.09% (57.0%), Above 7.10% (49.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 19 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 7.08%64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 7.09%57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Above 7.10%49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 7.11%40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 7.12%33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
Above 7.13%25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
Above 7.14%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 7.15%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Above 7.16%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 7.17%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 7.18%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 7.20%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 7.21%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 7.22%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 7.23%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.08%:

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 12, 2026 is above 7.08%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Nov 12, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

Sources

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