Who will AOC endorse?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:48:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Rashida Tlaib (73.0%), Donavan McKinney (55.0%), Brad Lander (49.0%). The market has $62K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rashida Tlaib | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Donavan McKinney | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Brad Lander | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Ilhan Omar | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Claire Valdez | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Darializa Avila Chevalier | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Connie Chan | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Dan Osborn | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $62K
- Liquidity: $62K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Rashida Tlaib:
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly endorses Rashida Tlaib in MI-12 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
Sources
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