Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur | 50% | 49% | 49% on Kalshi |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $3K · Liquidity $131K
- Kalshi: Volume $186 · Liquidity $186
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and o…
Kalshi
If Learner Tien wins the Tien vs de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tien vs de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market wi…