Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 08:42:39 UTC, Polymarket traders price Game Spread +/-0.5 (51.5%), Match O/U 22.5 (51.0%), Completed Match (50.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Game Spread +/-0.551.5%51.5¢48.5¢
Match O/U 22.551.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Completed Match50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Set 1 Winner50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Total Sets: O/U 2.550.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Set 2 Winner50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur49.5%49.5¢50.5¢
Set Handicap +/-1.549.5%49.5¢50.5¢
Match O/U 23.549.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Match O/U 21.549.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Set 1 O/U 8.548.5%48.5¢51.5¢
Set 1 O/U 9.548.5%48.5¢51.5¢
Set 1 O/U 10.548.5%48.5¢51.5¢
Set 2 O/U 9.548.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Set 2 O/U 8.548.0%48.0¢52.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Game Spread +/-0.5:

This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur wins 0.5 or more total games than Learner Tien in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Learner Tien". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Alex de Minaur could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Learner Tien". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.